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(Commodities Weekly) We Nailed Copper. Here’s What’s Next 📊

July 11, 2025

For months now, we’ve been pounding the table on Copper. 

Now, the trade is on fire. Copper futures had their best day ever on Tuesday after news of new tariffs from the Trump campaign.

This move also resulted in the first overbought reading on the 14-day RSI since March, marking the beginning of a new bullish momentum regime.

We've also been betting on the miners playing catch-up, and sure enough, that's working, too.

But as strong as that move was, Copper isn’t alone. 

Gold rang the dinner bell over a year ago with new all-time highs in March 2024. 

Since then, we've watched precious metals like Silver,...

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The Market Speaks—The Fed Follows

July 11, 2025

Everyone keeps assuming the Fed is done. That rates peaked in 2023. That the next move is down. That the cycle has run its course and we’re heading back to easy money.

But here’s the thing: the market says otherwise.

The 30-year yield has been grinding higher for most of 2025—not violently, not emotionally, just relentlessly

Quiet pressure. And when you see that kind of persistent strength at the long end, while the Fed Funds rate sits frozen? That’s not noise. That’s not a shrug. That’s a message.

And this pattern? We’ve seen it before. 

 

In 2018, the Fed hiked into weakness. The 30-year had already peaked, already started to roll over. The bond market was waving red flags. Powell didn’t listen. They pushed one step too far, broke the system, and were forced to reverse course.

The market knew first. The Fed caught up too late.

Then in 2024, it happened again—only flipped.

The Fed started cutting. But the 30-year? It didn’t follow. It rose. Why? Because that cut wasn’t about collapsing demand. It was...

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[Gold Rush] July’s Triple Threat 📊

July 7, 2025

It’s a brand-new month and quarter for precious metals, and the tape is firing on all cylinders.

The big-picture trend is simple... we’re in a secular bull market.

Gold kicked things off when it broke out to new all-time highs in March 2024. 

Since then, Silver and Platinum have resolved multi-year bases of their own. 

Both printed their highest quarterly closes in over a decade to finish Q2. 

And now, another laggard is setting up to catch fire... Palladium.

The best part? Seasonality is lining up right on cue.

Let’s break down what the data and charts are telling us.

...